Bio-OSINT
FlockGuard
HPAI · poultry supply chains

A county on a map isn't your supply chain.

FlockGuard— biosecurity intelligence for poultry supply chains.

Public dashboards tell you a detection happened somewhere in Duplin County. We tell you it landed 4.2 miles from Hollis Ridge — a farm on your own supplier list — and what that means for next week's volume.

Request a briefing See how it works
When an outbreak hits near your suppliers, you'll know before USDA publishes it. Most processors find out when their supplier stops returning calls.
Kinsey Broiler #2
Weller Pullet
Trent Valley Layer
Hollis Ridge Farm
HPAI · 4.2 mi
Your supplier sites Confirmed detection 10 mi standoff
Sources of record
Every alert cites the primary record it came from.
Federal Primary
USDA APHIS HPAI Confirmed Detections — commercial & backyard flocks
aphis.usda.gov Polled continuously
State Primary
State ag departments Quarantine, control-zone & movement-permit orders
NC, GA, AR, IA & 14 more Per-state cadence
Leading indicator Context
Wild bird surveillance Flyway sampling & morbidity reports ahead of poultry cases
APHIS WS & state programs Weekly
Public health Context
CDC Human case & spillover reporting, worker-exposure guidance
cdc.gov/bird-flu On publication
Bio-OSINT is an independent service. We read these public records — we are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or speaking for any agency named here.
The gap

By the time you see it on USDA's site, it's been four days.

State animal health officials quarantine a farm. USDA confirms it days later. You find out when your supplier stops answering. FlockGuard closes that window — alerting you within hours of the state disclosure, before USDA publishes, and only for the farms you actually buy from.

How it works today
—A detection posts to USDA's dashboard — days after quarantine
—You find out when a supplier stops returning calls
—No way to know which of your farms are inside the zone
—You're scrambling for spot-market supply at premium prices
FlockGuard
→Your named farms and facilities, mapped once and confirmed with you
→Monitored against federal and state sources continuously
→An alert when a detection lands within range — within hours of state disclosure
→The risk stated in volume you can act on, not in epidemiology you have to translate
What lands in your inbox

One alert. Named farm, measured distance, next action.

You don't need to check anything. If a detection lands near your farms, it arrives in your inbox within the hour — with the farm name, the distance, and what to do about it. If nothing is near your suppliers, you hear nothing. That silence is the product working.

Example alert. Farm names and client are illustrative.
Bio-OSINT
Proximity alert
4.2 mi from Hollis Ridge Farm
HPAI confirmed — commercial layer operation, Duplin County, NC
Your sites in range 2 of 34
Weekly volume exposed 11% shell egg
Control zone status Pending
Detected 06:14 EDT
What we'd do next Confirm movement-permit posture with Hollis Ridge and Trent Valley before Thursday's pull. Second-source 11% of shell egg volume as a hedge; expect a 7–14 day zone if the state order follows the usual pattern.
Source: USDA APHIS · state order pending Ref BO-2418
How it works

Three steps, and the first one is your spreadsheet.

Full method →
01
You send your supplier list
Farm and facility names in whatever form you keep them. We geocode each one and confirm it with you — the list is the product's foundation, so we get it right by hand.
02
We watch the perimeter
Federal, state, and wild-bird surveillance feeds are cross-referenced continuously against your sites at a standoff radius you set.
03
You get told, with the risk read
An alert within the hour of publication, plus a weekly procurement-risk note. Written by an analyst while the cohort is small.
Two long broiler houses with feed bins on a commercial poultry complex
Why HPAI first

HPAI doesn't wait for your procurement cycle.

Since 2022, HPAI has caused the loss of over 200 million birds across the US — and egg prices hit $6.22 a dozen at the peak. When a flock is confirmed, every bird is gone within 24 hours. The barn sits idle for 60 to 90 days. Supply doesn't bounce back overnight. The processors who had warning had time to act. The ones who didn't found out when the trucks stopped coming.

Who this is for

Two people need the same distance.

Primary
Regional processors & distributors

You have dozens of farms you depend on. When one county gets hit, you need to know before your buyers ask, before the movement permits tighten, and before every other processor is calling the same alternative suppliers. FlockGuard gives you that window.

→Hours of warning, not a weekly digest
→Exposure stated in volume you can second-source
Secondary
Agricultural insurers

HPAI has changed the loss landscape for poultry underwriters since 2022. Static risk models built before the outbreak are consistently wrong. FlockGuard's detection history gives you a county-level proximity signal you can run against your book at renewal — and show your actuarial team.

→Portfolio-level detection proximity
→Historical density for rating and renewal
Where we are, honestly

Bio-OSINT is a hands-on research and alert service today, run for a small first cohort while the data pipeline matures into a self-serve dashboard. You'd be working directly with the people doing the analysis.

We are not a replacement for USDA APHIS or your state veterinarian, and we don't issue regulatory guidance. We read the public record faster and against your list.

About

Bio-OSINT was founded by Ethan Smith, whose background spans veterinary medicine, intelligence operations — including OSINT, Signals Intelligence, and HUMINT — and cybersecurity. FlockGuard applies the same multi-discipline intelligence methodology used in national security contexts to livestock biosecurity — turning publicly available federal and state surveillance data, technical signals, and human source networks into actionable supply chain intelligence.

Send us your supplier list. We'll show you last month.

A briefing is 30 minutes. We run your named farms against the last 30 days of detections and show you exactly what you would have been told — which farms, how close, and what the volume exposure looked like. No obligation. Most processors find something they didn't know about.

Your list stays yours. We sign an NDA before you send anything.
Or email us directly: ethan@bio-osint.com